Conrady B., Mortensen S., Nielsen S.S., Houe H., Calvo-Artavia F.F., Ellis-Iversen J., Boklund A. (2023).  Simulation of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Spread and Effects of Mitigation Strategies to Support Veterinary Contingency Planning in Denmark. Pathogens. 12(3):435.
Geard, N., Bradhurst, R., Tellioglu, N., Oktaria, V., McVernon, J., Handley, A., & Bines, J. E. (2022). Model-based estimation of the impact on rotavirus disease of RV3-BB vaccine administered in a neonatal or infant schedule. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2139097.

Seitzinger A., Garner G., Bradhurst R., and Okelo W. (2022). Analysis of livestock movements and the benefits and costs of livestock standstills in Australia as part of the response to foot-and-mouth disease. Report prepared for the Western Australia Department of Primary Industries. CSIRO, Australia.

Bradhurst R., Burroughs A., Crosbie A., Firestone S., Stevenson M., Robinson A., (2022). Development and outputs of an epidemiological model to assess the sensitivity of the New Zealand background surveillance system for Mycoplasma bovis. Technical Report prepared for the New Zealand Ministry for Primary Industries by the University of Melbourne.

Seitzinger, A., Garner, G., Bradhurst, R., Roche S., Breed, A., Capon, T., Miller, C., Tapsuwan, S. (2022). FMD vaccine allocation and surveillance resourcing options for a potential Australian incursion. Australian Veterinary Journal, 2022; 1-12.

Seitzinger, A. H., Hafi, A., Addai, D., Garner, G., Bradhurst, R., Breed, A. C., Capon, T., Miller, C., Pinol, J., & Tapsuwan, S. (2022). The economic benefits of targeted response strategies against foot-and-mouth disease in Australia. Preventive veterinary medicine, 204, 105636. Advance online publication.

Hafi, A., Addai, D., Breed, A. C., Bradhurst, R., Capon, T., Garner, M. G., Miller, C., Pinol, J., Seitzinger, A. H., & Tapsuwan, S. (2022). Economic benefits of implementing trading zones for Australian livestock disease outbreaks of limited duration. Australian veterinary journal, 10.1111/avj.13141. Advance online publication.

Bradhurst, R., Garner, G., Roche, S., Iglesias, R., Kung, N., Robinson, B., Willis, S., Cozens, M., Richards, K., Cowled, B., Oberin, M., Tharle, C., Firestone, S. & Stevenson, M. (2021). Modelling the spread and control of African swine fever in domestic and feral pigs. University of Melbourne.

Marschik T., Kopacka I., Stockreiter S., Schmoll F., Hiesel J., Höflechner-Pöltl A., Käsbohrer A. and Conrady B. (2021). What Are the Human Resources Required to Control a Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreak in Austria? Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 8:727209

Capon T., Garner G., Tapsuwan S., Roche R., Breed A., Lui S., Miller C., Bradhurst R. and Hamilton S. (2021). A Simulation Study of the Use of Vaccination to Control Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreaks Across Australia. Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 8,

Garner G., Vosloo W., Tapsuwan S., Bradhurst R., Hillberg Seitzinger A., Breed A., and Capon T. (2021). Comparing surveillance approaches to support regaining free status after a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 194:105441.

Bradhurst R., Spring D., Stanaway M., Milner J., & Kompas T. (2021). A generalised and scalable framework for modelling incursions, surveillance and control of plant and environmental pests. Environmental Modelling and Software. 139:105004.

Marschik T., Kopacka I., Stockreiter S., Schmoll F., Hiesel J., Höflechner-Pöltl A., Käsbohrer A. and Pinior B. (2021). The Epidemiological and Economic Impact of a Potential Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreak in Austria. Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 7:594753

Bradhurst, R., Garner, G., Hovari, M., de la Puente, M., Mintiens, K., Yadav, S., Federici, T., Kopacka, I., Stockreiter, S., Kuzmanova, I., Paunov, S., Cacinovic, V., Rubin, M., Szilágyi, J., Szepesiné Kókány, Z., Santi, A., Sordilli, M., Sighinas, L., Spiridon, M., Potocnik, M and Sumption, K. (2021). Development of a transboundary model of livestock disease in Europe. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, 1-20.

Firestone, S.M., Hayama, Y., Lau, M.S.Y., Yamamoto, T., Nishi, T., Bradhurst, R.A., Demirhan, H., Stevenson, M.A. and Tsutsui, T. (2020). Transmission network reconstruction for foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks incorporating farm-level covariates. PLoS One. 15(7):e0235660.

Al-Riyami, S. (2020). Decision support tools for vector-borne spread of animal disease. PhD Thesis. Faculty of Veterinary and Agriculture Sciences, University of Melbourne.

Bradhurst, R., Garner, G., East, I., Death, C., Dodd, A. and Kompas, T. (2019). Management strategies for vaccinated animals after an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease and the impact on return to trade. PloS One, 14(10), e0223518.

van Beest van Andel, M. (2019). Extrapolating incomplete animal population and surveillance data for use in national disease control: Examples from Myanmar and New Zealand. PhD Thesis. Massey University, Manawatu, New Zealand.

Spring D., Kompas T. & Bradhurst R. (2019). Cost-benefit analysis of the yellow crazy ant eradication program. Report prepared for the Wet Tropics Management Authority, University of Melbourne, Australia.

Firestone, S.M., Hayama, Y., Bradhurst, R.A., Yamamoto, T., Tsutsui, T. and Stevenson, M.A. (2019). Reconstructing foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks: a methods comparison of transmission network models. Scientific Reports, 9, 4809.

Van Andel, M., Hollings, T., Bradhurst, R., Robinson, A., Burgman, M., Gates, M. C., Bingham, P., & Carpenter, T. (2018). Does Size Matter to Models? Exploring the Effect of Herd Size on Outputs of a Herd-Level Disease Spread Simulator. Frontiers in veterinary science, 5, 78.

Kompas T., Bradhurst R., Iglesias R., East I., Garner G., Stevenson M., Al-Riyami S., (2017). Vector-borne spread of animal disease (CEBRA Project 1608B). Technical report prepared for the Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment. Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis, University of Melbourne.

Bradhurst, R.A., Roche, S.E., East, I.J., Kwan, P. and Garner, M.G. (2016). Improving the computational efficiency of an agent-based spatiotemporal model of livestock disease spread and control. Environmental Modelling and Software, 77, 1-12.

Garner, M. G., East, I. J., Stevenson, M. A., Sanson, R. L., Rawdon, T. G., Bradhurst, R. A., Roche, S. E., Van Ha, P. and Kompas, T. (2016). Early Decision Indicators for Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreaks in Non-Endemic Countries. Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 3, 109.

Bradhurst, R.A., Roche, S.E., East, I.J., Kwan, P. and Garner, M.G. (2015). A hybrid modelling approach to simulating foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Australian livestock. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 3(17).

Bradhurst, R.A. (2015). Modelling the spatiotemporal spread and control of viral disease in livestock using a hybrid equation-based and agent-based approach. PhD Thesis, University of New England.

Bradhurst R.A., Roche S.E., Garner M.G., Sajeev A.S.M. and Kwan P. (2013). Modelling the spread of livestock disease on a national scale: the case for a hybrid approach. Proceedings of the 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2013), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2013, 345–351.

Australian Animal Disease Spread Model

Supported by the Australian Deparment of Agriculture, Water and the Environment